The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians U20 57.5%
Draw 24.3%
Ferroviaria U20 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
25.5%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
24.6%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians U20's performance.
Ferroviaria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviaria U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviaria U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Corinthians U20 - Ferroviaria U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Ferroviaria U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Corinthians U20 is a strong favorite.
We predict that Corinthians U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
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