The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Xelajú 60.1%
Draw 23.4%
Deportivo Mixco 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.2%
25.1%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
26.7%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Sican E. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 16. Cardona J. 29. Casas D. 7. Diaz Y. 70. Jaen Y. 24. Marquez R. 5. Monreal E. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W.
30. Moscoso K. (G) 25. Cruz J. 17. Cuero Fabian 6. Jimenez C. 9. L. Garcia 21. Marroquin D. 5. Mendez D. 11. Pozuelos Y. 20. Segura J. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
11. Cardenas S. 26. Cardoza E. 22. Chang E. (G) 6. de Leon M. 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Hernandez M. 21. Lopez A. 71. Mejia O. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E.
10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. 2. Flores N. 7. Garcia E. 26. Jerry 8. Lemus K. 14. Marroquin R. 23. Padilla M. (G) 19. Zuniga E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Marquez R. ⚽,
38', L. Garcia 🟨,
45+1', Segura J. ↓, Jerry ↑,
45+7', Cuero Fabian 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Marroquin D. ↓, Flores N. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Diaz Y. ⚽,
51', Jimenez C. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
51', Urizar J. ↓, Arce G. ↑,
57', L. Garcia ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Jaen Y. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Jaen Y. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
72', Aparicio J. 🟨,
73', Diaz Y. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
73', Calderon R. ↓, Mejia O. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Mejia O. ⚽,
81', Casas D. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
81', Aparicio J. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
82', Monreal E. 🟨,
90', 4 - 1, Cruz J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Xelajú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Xelajú is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
Usa
Watch
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Sican E. (G) 
Casas D. 
Diaz Y. 
Jaen Y. 
Monreal E. 
Cardenas S. 
Arce G. 
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