Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán (Mixco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Deportivo Mixco		Alianza Panama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.40	3.10
	2.15	3.25	2.90
	1.99	3.62	3.36
	2.01	3.76	3.28	Watch
	1.94	3.6	3.2
	1.98	3.44	3.27	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.55)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	3.2 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
45.5%

Draw
26%

Alianza Panama
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Mixco's performance.

Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Panama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Mixco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Panama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Mixco - Alianza Panama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (C) 6. Jimenez C. 5. Mendez D. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A. 2. Flores N. 9. L. Garcia 10. Arce G. 26. Jerry 11. Pozuelos Y. 99. Martinez N.	12. Gonzalez J. (G) 13. Mendoza A. 5. Campos O. 22. Rodriguez M. (C) 3. Ortega Y. 8. Rangel G. 17. Asprilla J. 40. Rodriguez C. 19. Vargas D. 28. Alvarado J. 26. Garces J.
Substitutes
18. Bolanos J. 13. Chinchilla J. 25. Cruz J. 7. Garcia E. 8. Lemus K. 12. Marquez J. 14. Marroquin R. 1. Mendoza M. (G) 23. Padilla M. (G) 32. Reyes E. 19. Zuniga E.	51. Carvajal D. 10. Chiari G. 53. Hidalgo J. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 31. Machado A. 50. Mosquera G. 29. Stewart A. 9. Walters B.
Coaches
Benitez F.	Palacios J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Martinez N. ⚽, Urizar J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Chiari G. ↑,
46', Vargas D. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
58', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
59', Alvarado J. ↓, Walters B. ↑,
61', Martinez N. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
61', Jerry ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
61', L. Garcia ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
66', Garces J. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
72', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Marroquin R. ↑,
82', Rangel G. ↓, Hidalgo J. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Bolanos J. ⚽,
86', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
87', Arce G. ↓, Reyes E. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mixco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.

Mixco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Panama - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	4:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - UMECIT	4:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Mixco	3:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
11.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Deportivo Mixco	3:0 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
24.08.26	Alianza Panama - Tauro	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Alianza Panama - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.08.26	Alianza Panama - Plaza Amador	2:4 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alianza Panama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

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