Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.92	3.45
	2.16	2.76	3.96
	2.11	2.83	3.85	Watch
	2.23	2.79	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.32)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	3.77 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
43%

Draw
32.6%

Conquense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

33.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Xerez CD - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Xerez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Conquense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Xerez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Xerez CD - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.6%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Xerez CD - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Xerez Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Xerez CD - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lorca Deportiva - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Xerez CD - Puente Genil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTWL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.05.26	Real Madrid C - Conquense	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Conquense - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Conquense - Socuéllamos	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Orihuela - Conquense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWT

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