Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.7	7.5
	1.45	3.65	7.2
	1.5	3.82	7.02
	1.4	3.94	8.16
	1.52	3.58	7.68
	1.45	3.65	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	7.46 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
63.1%

Draw
24.6%

Don Benito
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xerez Deportivo's performance.

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Xerez Deportivo - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Roson D. ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Roson D. ⚽,

Preview

Don Benito is Relegated to

Recent matches Xerez Deportivo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Don Benito is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xerez Deportivo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Xerez Deportivo is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Xerez Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.04.25	Minera - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Xerez Deportivo - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Xerez Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	La Unión - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.04.25	Xerez CD - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Don Benito - Minera	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	San Fernando - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Don Benito - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Antoniano - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez Deportivo	0:0
10.04.22	Don Benito - Xerez Deportivo	1:2
21.11.21	Xerez Deportivo - Don Benito	1:0

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