Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday


	Liaoning Tieren		Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	5.5	9.25
	1.25	5.3	8.5
	1.26	6.01	10.76
	1.22	5	11
	1.21	6.15	10.75
	1.22	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (2.12)	5.58 ↑ (3.45)	10.04 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
74.4%

Draw
16.4%

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-32.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Xinjiang will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liaoning Tieren: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Recent matches Shenyang Urban is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shenyang Urban will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shenyang Urban won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shenyang Urban won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
29.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
25.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	0:0 ✺
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTTL
- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
29.09.22	Nanjing City - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
21.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Zibo Cuju	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
17.08.21	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Liaoning Tieren	0:0
28.07.21	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0
08.11.20	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2

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