The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
YSCC 26.3%
Draw 28.3%
Fukushima United 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
28.2%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
28.1%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
YSCC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that YSCC's form might have worsened.
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fukushima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for YSCC than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for YSCC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fukushima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
YSCC - Fukushima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. YSCC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Fukushima United will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fukushima United: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Okamoto M. (G) 2. Hanafusa M. 5. Oshima H. 3. Fujiwara T. 50. Nakazato T. 33. Hashimoto R. 7. Kikutani A. 10. Yamamoto R. 32. Matsumura K. 9. Kayanuma Y. 18. Fujishima J.
1. Yoshimaru K. (G) 3. Matsunagane Y. 2. Yamada M. 5. Omori H. 28. Suzu N. 13. Miyazaki T. 17. Harigaya T. 14. Ozeki Y. 7. Shiohama R. 9. Sawakami R. 10. Mori K.
Substitutes
23. Domoto H. 25. Nishiyama S. 19. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 22. Otake Y. 11. Pedersen J. 21. Takahashi C. (G) 14. Wakizaka R.
40. Higuchi H. 20. Jojo K. 27. Nozue S. 19. Shimizu K. 41. Uehata U. 18. Yajima K. 22. Yamamoto K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Kikutani A. ⚽, Kayanuma Y. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Fujiwara T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Sawakami R. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
57', Mori K. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
72', Harigaya T. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
72', Shiohama R. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
79', Yamamoto R. ↓, Otake Y. ↑,
79', Kikutani A. ↓, Domoto H. ↑,
79', Fujishima J. ↓, Wakizaka R. ↑,
85', Yamada M. ↓, Nozue S. ↑,
89', Matsumura K. ↓, Nishiyama S. ↑,
90+1', Kayanuma Y. ↓, Pedersen J. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches YSCC won 3.
YSCC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fukushima United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fukushima United will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches YSCC won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.
Including matches at home between the teams YSCC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.