The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 31.2%
Draw 28.5%
Imabari 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
24%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
24.4%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fukushima United's form might have worsened.
Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fukushima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
40%
30%
Fukushima United - Imabari Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fukushima United will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Imabari will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yoshimaru K. (G) 3. Matsunagane Y. 2. Yamada M. 4. Dohana K. 28. Suzu N. 41. Uehata U. 17. Harigaya T. 14. Ozeki Y. 7. Shiohama R. 9. Sawakami R. 10. Mori K.
31. Serantes J. (G) 4. Ichihara R. 3. Fukumori N. 2. Kato T. 37. Umeki R. 6. Moschion T. 25. Kusumi K. 9. Kondo T. 50. Mikado Y. 18. Arai H. 11. Sakano T.
Substitutes
40. Higuchi H. 20. Jojo K. 13. Miyazaki T. 5. Omori H. 18. Yajima K. 22. Yamamoto K. (G) 8. Yoshinaga H.
15. Abe R. 21. Hino T. 29. Rodrigo 20. Sato R. 5. Shirai T. 1. Shugyo T. (G) 14. Yuba K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Harigaya T. ⚽, Ozeki Y. (A),
40', Moschion T. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Shiohama R. ⚽, Uehata U. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kusumi K. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Sakano T. ⚽, Moschion T. (A),
54', 2 - 2, Kondo T. ⚽, Ichihara R. (A),
65', Mori K. ↓, Yoshinaga H. ↑,
65', Harigaya T. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
70', Arai H. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
75', Sawakami R. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
75', Shiohama R. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
78', Moschion T. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
78', Sakano T. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Kondo T. ⚽, Rodrigo (A),
90+1', Uehata U. ↓, Omori H. ↑,
90+1', Umeki R. ↓, Shirai T. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 2.
Recent matches Fukushima United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Imabari is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fukushima United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Fukushima United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.