Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Villegas		Arnedo

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.6	1.58
	5.12	3.74	1.57
	5.29	3.77	1.58
	5.5	3.5	1.57
	5.49	3.64	1.55
	5	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↑ (5.15)	3.67 ↓ (3.68)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villegas
17.4%

Draw
24.8%

Arnedo
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

25.7%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Villegas - Arnedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Arnedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arnedo is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
13.12.25	San Marcial - Villegas	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Villegas - La Calzada	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Villegas - Berceo	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Villegas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWWWL
- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.12.25	Comillas - Arnedo	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Arnedo - Vianés	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	San Marcial - Arnedo	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.03.21	Villegas - Arnedo	0:2
01.02.20	Villegas - Arnedo	2:5
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Villegas - Arnedo	0:3

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