Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 17

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Young Boy		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.4	4	Watch
	1.79	3.4	4.41
	1.75	3.43	4.46	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.77	3.42	4.21	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)	4.18 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
51.5%

Draw
26.7%

Suzhou Dongwu
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

30.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Young Boy's performance.

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Dalian Young Boy - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sui Weijie (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 22. Mao W. 21. Lu Peng 28. Fei Yu 29. Sun B. 44. Kotnik A. 16. Zhu P.	21. Li Xinyu (G) 14. Huang Jiajun 5. Xu Wu 16. Xu Chunqing 11. Zhang Jingzhe 28. Deng Yubiao 17. Jin Shang 35. Xiang Rongjun 27. Duan Dezhi 9. Leonardo 18. Liang Weipeng
Substitutes
23. 23 40. Fernando Karanga 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 14. Li Z. 27. Mingrui Y. 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 34. Zhao Mingjian 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C.	23. Benhaddouche C. 8. Gao D. 42. Ghenifa A. 41. Guo Tong (G) 15. Hu H. 1. Liu Yu (G) 31. Ma Fuyu 39. Ren J. 3. Shang K. 26. Ye Daoxin 10. Zhang Lingfeng.
Coaches
Li G.	Kim D. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Lu Zhuoyi ⚽,
30', Xu Chunqing 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mao W. ↓, Zhao Mingjian ↑,
46', Jin Shang ↓, Zhang Lingfeng. ↑,
46', Xu Chunqing ↓, Ghenifa A. ↑,
66', Sun B. ↓, Yan Xiangchuang ↑,
66', Huang Jiajun ↓, Shang K. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Zhao Mingjian ⚽,
77', Fei Yu ↓, Fernando Karanga ↑,
77', Zhu P. ↓, 23 ↑,
84', Deng Yubiao 🟨,
85', Zhang Jingzhe ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
85', Shang K. ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
90+1', Lu Zhuoyi ↓, Mingrui Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).

Recent matches Dalian Young Boy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Suzhou Dongwu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dalian Young Boy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
07.07.24	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Red Lions	4:0 ✺
30.06.24	Ningbo Professional - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
15.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	0:3 ✺
08.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Nanjing City - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLWL
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
07.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	0:5 ✺
29.06.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing Guoan	0:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
16.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	2:5 ✺
08.06.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
17.03.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Young Boy	0:1

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