Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 18

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Referee: Liang Songshang (Chn)


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3	2.7
	2.4	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.79
	2.44	3.13	2.79	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.39	3.13	2.72	Watch
	2.34	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.86)	3.11 ↑ (2.98)	2.77 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
38%

Draw
29.2%

Dalian Young Boy
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's performance.

Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Pingguo Haliao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Young Boy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 21. Zhao Haichao 29. Shan P. 6. Zhang Wentao 2. Wang Huapeng 33. Ye Chongqiu 7. Hevel H. 28. Zhang Xiangshuo 44. Fan Chao 9. Rodrigues G. 37. Giovanny	17. Sui Weijie (G) 34. Zhao Mingjian 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 28. Fei Yu 21. Lu Peng 29. Sun B. 16. Zhu P. 44. Kotnik A. 38. Lu Zhuoyi
Substitutes
23. Bai Jiajun 31. Guo Yi 22. He L. (G) 8. Hu Jiajin 11. Hu Rentian 32. Liu J. 25. Liu Yang 18. Lu Pin 17. Sun Weizhe 19. Wang Jingbin 15. Yang Minjie 3. Yi Xianlong	23. 23 40. Fernando Karanga 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 3. Gerbig O. 22. Mao W. 27. Mingrui Y. 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C.
Coaches
Gaspar A.	Li G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Fei Yu ⚽,
29', Zhao Haichao ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑,
33', Lu Zhuoyi 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Fei Yu ⚽, Lu Zhuoyi (A),
45+3', Hevel H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Zhu P. ↓, Mao W. ↑,
56', Sun B. ↓, Fernando Karanga ↑,
60', Zhao Mingjian 🟨,
68', Fernando Karanga 🟨,
70', Zhang Wentao ↓, Yi Xianlong ↑,
70', Fan Chao ↓, Yang Minjie ↑,
80', Shan P. ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
87', Ye Chongqiu ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
90+2', Mao W. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dalian Young Boy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dalian Young Boy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dalian Young Boy have a series of home games.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuhan Three Towns	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWTW
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
13.07.24	Dalian Young Boy - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Red Lions	4:0 ✺
30.06.24	Ningbo Professional - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
15.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	0:3 ✺
08.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
24.03.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0

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