Match Info

League One - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yanbian Longding		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.00	3.50
	2.18	2.88	3.40	Watch
	2.03	3.05	4.48
	1.97	3.24	3.96	Watch
	1.96	2.90	4.50
	1.99	3.25	3.87	Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
46%

Draw
30.4%

Nanjing City
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 15. Xu Jizu 33. Hu Ziqian 4. Nunez V. 14. Cui Taixu 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 7. Li Shibin 10. Brown F. 30. Huang Zhenfei	26. Yang Chao (G) 22. Meng Zhen 15. Tayir Shewketjan 18. Dong Honglin (C) 20. Liu Le 29. Fu Shang 8. Yang Dejiang 11. Hu Rentian 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 14. Qurban W. 9. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 19. Duan Dezhi 32. Huang Z. 36. Li R. 6. Li Ximin 28. Pan Xuanyu 45. Qu Yanheng 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 23. Wang Zihao 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu	17. An Bang 28. Han Q. 23. Hu Jinghang 30. Wei Minghe 5. Wong W. 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 16. Yang He 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 45. Zheng Hao (G) 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Tayir Shewketjan 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽, Fu Shang (A),
40', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez V. ↓, Chen Keqiang ↑,
46', Li Shibin ↓, Qu Yanheng ↑,
50', Yang Dejiang 🟨,
62', Hu Rentian ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
62', Fu Shang ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
65', Cui Taixu ↓, Li R. ↑,
83', Domingos J. 🟨,
83', Meng Zhen 🟨,
87', Zhang X. 🟨,
90+2', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Xiang Rongjun ↑,
90+5', Ze Vitor ↓, An Bang ↑,
90+5', Ze Vitor 🟨,
90+6', Ze Vitor 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Brown F. ⚽, Domingos J. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 2.

Yanbian Longding has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nanjing City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nanjing City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Yanbian Longding might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Yanbian Longding will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
26.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Nanjing City - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.03.26	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	0:0
08.11.25	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	6:1
06.07.25	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	1:1
20.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:2
23.03.24	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	0:1
02.09.23	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	1:0
20.05.23	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:0

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