Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Florentino Oropeza (San Felipe)


	Yaracuyanos		Deportivo La Guaira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.71
	4.3	3.35	1.82
	4.51	3.41	1.82	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.8
	4.28	3.34	1.77	Watch
	4.3	3.35	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (2.83)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	1.79 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaracuyanos
21%

Draw
27.7%

Deportivo La Guaira
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Deportivo La Guaira (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo La Guaira will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ojeda D. (G) 17. Ibarguen L. 2. Morales B. 4. Medina O. 14. Canon M. 8. Chacon J. 7. Vargas C. 20. Ordonez E. 10. Torres J. 88. Navas Barrera V. H. 9. Perez J.	1. Lima E. (G) 16. Pena L. 4. Rivero C. 30. Peralta R. 20. Gutierrez J. 31. Castillo S. 13. Ibarra R. 24. Perdomo J. 21. Lamadrid K. 7. Meza J. 9. Uribe A.
Substitutes
21. Castro M. 19. Cordoba J. B. 18. Cuero J. 29. Franco F. 1. Gil Y. (G) 16. Herrera D. 23. Machado S. 15. Palacio K. 11. Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. 99. Viez V.	11. Arias J. 19. Ascanio G. 70. Caraballo J. 10. Castellanos J. 2. Ferreira E. 6. Flores F. 15. Gonzalez M. 18. Rivas Y. 12. Schiavone G. (G) 22. Sulbaran M.
Coaches
Perez D.	Tolisano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', Torres J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Uribe A. (Pen),
38', 0 - 2, Lamadrid K. ⚽, Perdomo J. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Vargas C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castillo S. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
46', Torres J. ↓, Palacio K. ↑,
46', Ordonez E. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
46', Ibarguen L. ↓, Machado S. ↑,
57', Pena L. 🟨,
67', Perdomo J. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
67', Ibarra R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
67', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. ↑,
67', Vargas C. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
80', Meza J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
83', Palacio K. 🟨,
89', Flores F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yaracuyanos won 1.

Yaracuyanos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo La Guaira is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yaracuyanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo La Guaira is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Yaracuyanos won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:20 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Yaracuyanos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.04.25	Academia Anzoátegui - Yaracuyanos	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	Yaracuyanos - Caracas	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	Rayo Zuliano - Yaracuyanos	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Yaracuyanos - Universidad Central	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Monagas - Yaracuyanos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLLL
- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.04.25	Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira	1:3 ✺
Venezuelan Super Cup
22.03.25	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
26.09.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Yaracuyanos	1:0
09.08.21	Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira	3:2
16.06.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Yaracuyanos	1:1
02.05.21	Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2
07.12.20	Deportivo La Guaira - Yaracuyanos	2:1
04.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1
07.03.20	Deportivo La Guaira - Yaracuyanos	2:2

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