Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Yate Town		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	2.95
	1.98	3.92	3.15
	2.03	3.6	3.16
	2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.22)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	3.09 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
45.6%

Draw
24.9%

Hartley Wintney
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

23.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Yate Town - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Yate has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hartley Wintney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hartley Wintney could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Yate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Winchester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Yate Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:3 ✺
07.02.23	Hanwell Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
25.02.23	Hartley Wintney - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Truro City - Hartley Wintney	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hartley Wintney	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hartley Wintney - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0
22.01.22	Yate Town - Hartley Wintney	2:1
23.11.21	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	2:2
27.10.20	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:1
08.10.19	Yate Town - Hartley Wintney	2:1

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