Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday


	Swindon Supermarine		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.6	6
	1.45	4.2	4.6
	1.72	3.75	3.85
	1.39	5.01	6.38
	1.57	3.75	4.5
	1.36	4.9	6.8
	1.38	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	4.39 ↑ (3.8)	5.52 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
62.6%

Draw
20.9%

Hartley Wintney
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Supermarine's performance.

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Swindon Supermarine will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hartley Wintney will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 4.

Recent matches Swindon Supermarine is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartley Wintney is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swindon Supermarine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swindon Supermarine is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
11.02.23	Beaconsfield Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
07.02.23	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
04.02.23	Swindon Supermarine - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4 ✺
07.01.23	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTWW
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
11.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hartley Wintney	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Hartley Wintney - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
31.01.23	Hartley Wintney - Chesham United	1:5 ✺
28.01.23	North Leigh - Hartley Wintney	3:0 ✺
14.01.23	Merthyr Town - Hartley Wintney	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.08.22	Hartley Wintney - Swindon Supermarine	0:3
15.03.22	Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney	3:2
23.10.21	Hartley Wintney - Swindon Supermarine	1:0
11.01.20	Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney	3:2
13.08.19	Hartley Wintney - Swindon Supermarine	1:2
22.04.19	Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney	1:1
01.01.19	Hartley Wintney - Swindon Supermarine	2:2

Swindon Supermarine - Hartley Wintney: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide