Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Plymouth Parkway		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.4	2.35
	2.74	3.37	2.37
	2.53	3.77	2.44	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.3
	2.61	3.48	2.26
	2.39	3.56	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.43)	3.45 ↓ (3.65)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
35.2%

Draw
26.4%

Yate Town
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

25%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

23.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Beardmore M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Plymouth Parkway is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yate has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Yate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Plymouth Parkway won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23:8	15	20
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
10.03.26	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Taunton Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Hanwell Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Walton & Hersham	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
07.03.26	Yate Town - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Farnham Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Walton & Hersham - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Yate Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Bracknell Town - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
27.09.25	Yate Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:1
25.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town	2:1
11.10.22	Yate Town - Plymouth Parkway	4:0

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