Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Plymouth Parkway		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.69	7.87
	1.28	5.5	8.1
	1.28	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.82)	5.4 ↑ (4)	8.16 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
71.6%

Draw
17.1%

Hartley Wintney
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

22%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Parkway's performance.

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartley Wintney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartley Wintney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Parkway - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Plymouth Parkway is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartley Wintney has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Plymouth Parkway could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Plymouth Parkway is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
07.02.23	Merthyr Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Salisbury - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Plymouth Parkway - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	4:0 ✺
14.01.23	Metropolitan Police - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTWL
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
04.02.23	Hartley Wintney - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
31.01.23	Hartley Wintney - Chesham United	1:5 ✺
28.01.23	North Leigh - Hartley Wintney	3:0 ✺
14.01.23	Merthyr Town - Hartley Wintney	4:1 ✺
07.01.23	Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Plymouth Parkway	4:4

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