Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Yate Town		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.46
	5.2	4.3	1.46
	5.5	4.35	1.52
	5.5	4	1.47
	5.3	4.45	1.47
	5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.33)	4.32 ↑ (4)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
17.3%

Draw
21%

Weston-super-Mare
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

22.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weston-super-Mare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Yate Town - Weston super Mare Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Weston-super-Mare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yate won 1.

Recent matches Yate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weston-super-Mare is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Weston-super-Mare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yate have a series of guest games.

Recently Weston-super-Mare have a series of home games.

In this match Weston-super-Mare is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Yate won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Yate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
19.11.22	Salisbury - Yate Town	0:0 ✺
15.11.22	Bracknell Town - Yate Town	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Swindon Supermarine - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Yate Town - Harrow Borough	3:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLTL
- Weston-super-Mare
English Southern League South Division
19.11.22	Weston-super-Mare - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Merthyr Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Weston-super-Mare - Bognor Regis Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
25.10.22	Weston-super-Mare - North Leigh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Yate Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:2
English Southern League South Division
16.08.22	Weston-super-Mare - Yate Town	3:2
05.02.22	Yate Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
12.10.21	Weston-super-Mare - Yate Town	1:2
14.03.20	Weston-super-Mare - Yate Town	Canceled
17.12.19	Yate Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2

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