Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.3	2.87	2.95
	2.44	2.85	3.15
	2.44	2.78	3.14	Watch
	2.48	2.77	3.14
	2.44	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)	2.81 ↑ (2.7)	3.11 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
37.8%

Draw
32.6%

Yeclano Deportivo
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Mérida AD - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 28. del Cerro S. 3. Jimenez N. 7. Alvaro J. 24. Carvalho M. 11. Doncel C. 6. Miki 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J.	1. Martinez I. (G) 18. Olmedo V. 6. Mayorga A. 14. Lopez A. 2. Sanchez A. 19. Errahaly M. 23. Serpeta 5. Masogo A. 8. Juanje 16. Martin J. 10. Perez P.
Substitutes
4. Bonaque M. 23. Busi 26. Macia I. (G) 9. Mizzian M. 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez E. 27. Tiago Leal 13. Vicente D. (G)	11. de Pedro D. 4. Gabri 13. Marti B. (G) 27. Martinez R. 3. Morros 9. Naranjo J. 17. Solsona J. 22. Sutherland T. 15. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Sanchez A. ↓, Sutherland T. ↑,
25', Falcon E. 🟨,
26', Doncel C. 🟨,
29', Masogo A. 🟨,
41', Mayorga A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Doncel C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Masogo A. ↓, Gabri ↑,
61', Martin J. ↓, Solsona J. ↑,
62', Alvaro J. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
62', Miki ↓, Pareja Alvarez L. ↑,
68', Lopez A. 🟨,
70', Gabri 🟨,
73', Doncel C. ↓, Busi ↑,
73', Serpeta ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
73', Juanje ↓, Traore M. ↑,
75', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
79', Mizzian M. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13).

Mérida AD is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yeclano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.03.25	Villarreal B - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Algeciras - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Intercity - Mérida AD	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLL
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ibiza - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.20	Yeclano Deportivo - Mérida AD	2:2
20.10.19	Mérida AD - Yeclano Deportivo	2:2

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