Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Antequera		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.25
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.38	2.78	3.2
	2.51	2.71	3.45
	2.57	2.58	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3
	2.39	2.81	3.38
	2.25	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.09)	2.74 ↓ (3.15)	3.27 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
38.8%

Draw
33.3%

Algeciras
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

30.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antequera's form might have worsened.

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Antequera - Algeciras Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcover D. (G) 15. Raul Gimenez 4. Barbu 20. Aspra J. 2. Anton J. 12. Garreta F. 10. Luismi Gutierrez 23. Diz Acena R. 17. Parra M. 11. Siddiki O. 24. Ilahude D.	1. Moreno I. (G) 16. Gomez A. 6. Mayorga A. 11. Sanchez T. 3. Marquez J. 24. Castro O. 8. Turrillo I. 10. Garrido D. 19. Obeng I. 17. Aviles J. 9. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
3. Albentosa R. 18. Bassele M. 7. Biabiany J. 21. Chit O. 26. Di Criscio A. 16. Gene A. 1. Perez S. (G) 6. Ramos D. 9. Ribeiro 14. Sanchez E.	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 20. Alamo J. 13. Casado S. (G) 21. Garcia J. 14. Nader A. 7. Rastrojo J. 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V. 32. Vilches Gonzalez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Ilahude D. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Luismi Gutierrez (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sanchez T. 🟨,
69', Diz Acena R. ↓, Gene A. ↑,
69', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
70', Garreta F. 🟨,
71', Ilahude D. ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
75', Garcia J. 🟨,
83', Parra M. ↓, Bassele M. ↑,
83', Garreta F. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antequera won 1.

Antequera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Algeciras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Antequera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Antequera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Antequera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10:8	2	9
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Antequera - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.37%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Algeciras - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.03.26	Antequera - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Antequera	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Antequera - CE Europa	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Hércules - Antequera	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Marbella - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWLWW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.03.26	Sabadell - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Algeciras - Teruel	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Marbella - Algeciras	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Algeciras - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.11.25	Algeciras - Antequera	1:0
22.03.25	Antequera - Algeciras	1:3
21.12.24	Algeciras - Antequera	1:1
20.04.24	Algeciras - Antequera	2:3
03.12.23	Antequera - Algeciras	0:1
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Antequera - Algeciras	2:0

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