Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo de la Constitucion (Yecla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Yeclano Deportivo		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.72	3.7
	2.30	2.87	3.29	Watch
	2.15	2.66	3.88
	1.92	2.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	3.79 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeclano Deportivo
43.1%

Draw
32.8%

Xerez CD
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeclano Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+2%)

Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Garcia N. (Pen),
41', 0 - 2, Garcia N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 3, Castillo M. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Yeclano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yeclano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Yeclano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Yeclano Deportivo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Almeria B - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:2

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