Match Info

First League - Round 18

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Yelimay 2

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.60
	1.52	3.5	5.3
	1.5	3.95	4.35
	1.57	3.25	6.79	Watch
	1.5	3.5	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	5.27 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
58.5%

Draw
24.6%

Yelimay 2
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Yelimay 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Armenov A. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Toygozy E. (Own goal),
90+3', 2 - 1, Seylkhanov A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Kaspiy 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kaspiy 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kaspij Aktau 2	24	8	4	12	35:41	-6	28
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	24	3	3	18	19:50	-31	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
06.08.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Aktobe 2	6:1 ✺
23.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:0 ✺
10.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLW
- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
06.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Kairat 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Taraz	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	Khan Tengri - Yelimay 2	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 85.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
14.05.26	Yelimay 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:4

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