Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Yeni Diyarbakırspor		Ankara Demirspor

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.82
	4.1	3.35	1.85
	4.3	3.42	1.9
	3.96	3.32	1.87
	4.18	3.14	1.85
	4.1	3.35	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.3 ↑ (3)	1.86 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeni Diyarbakırspor
22.5%

Draw
27.9%

Ankara Demirspor
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

29.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeni Diyarbakırspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeni Diyarbakırspor's form might have worsened.

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankara Demirspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Diyarbakırspor than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeni Diyarbakırspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankara Demirspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Ankara Demirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Yamac B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 2, Deniz O. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Ankara Demirspor have a series of home games.

Ankara Demirspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Diyarbakırspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Diyarbakırspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeni Diyarbakırspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.12.24	Erbaaspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Arnavutköy	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Menemenspor	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Elazığspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LTLWT
- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Giresunspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Kastamonuspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Erbaaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Ankara Demirspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
21.04.24	Ankara Demirspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	2:1
10.12.23	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.11.22	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1
Turkish 3 Lig Play Offs
22.05.18	Ankara Demirspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	3:1

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