Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 18

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Yeni Malatya Stadyumu (Malatya)

Referee: Guldal T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Yeni Malatyaspor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.65	3.3	1.85
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.88	3.49	1.95
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.58	3.48	1.9
	3.45	3.35	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeni Malatyaspor
25.5%

Draw
27.2%

Keçiörengücü
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	35.7%	57.1%

Yeni Malatyaspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Yeni Malatyaspor will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Keçiörengücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Keçiörengücü will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Yeni Malatyaspor: Emeksiz D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Cinan M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Yeni Malatyaspor: Turkaslan A. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Demir A. (Knock) Gur H. (Knock)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeni Malatyaspor
Turkish First League
09.12.22	Samsunspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Tuzlaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Pendikspor	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Boluspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Uşakspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
10.12.22	Keçiörengücü - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
14.11.22	Göztepe - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
18.12.19	Keçiörengücü - Yeni Malatyaspor	2:2
03.12.19	Yeni Malatyaspor - Keçiörengücü	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
21.12.14	Keçiörengücü - Yeni Malatyaspor	2:1

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