Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 32

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Falov V. (Rus)


	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.09	6.28
	1.49	4.25	6.3	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2.04)	4.18 ↑ (3.3)	6.06 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
62.4%

Draw
22.3%

Kuban Krasnodar
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's performance.

Kuban Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kuban Krasnodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yenisey Krasnoyarsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuban Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 80. Bardybakhin V. 21. Ivanov E. 29. Khozin V. 8. Lomakin A. 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 75. Okladnikov A. 12. Razdorskikh N. 10. Saaduev S. 5. Stezhko V.	24. Ternovskiy D. (G) 10. Abdokov N. 22. Bakalyuk N. 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 36. Gruznov I. 17. Moseychuk I. 73. Sharipov A. 96. Smirnov A. 30. Takazov S. 11. Temnikov I. 37. Vedeneev M.
Substitutes
1. Antipin S. (G) 96. Ferreyra G. 77. Gashchenkov M. 2. Kichin V. 13. Markov N. 27. Nemchenko A. 17. Orlov A. 66. Polshikov D. 9. Savelyev M. 11. Tikhonov D. 23. Uzhgin M. 42. Yarusov D. (G)	33. Ezhkov D. 56. Fattakhov L. 20. Kenfack O. 21. Kertanov K. 70. Levin G. 1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 9. Reichmen B. 18. Solop A.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.	Nechaev O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Ivanov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdokov N. ↓, Levin G. ↑,
46', Gruznov I. ↓, Ezhkov D. ↑,
53', Mazurin A. ↓, Markov N. ↑,
61', Smirnov A. 🟨,
68', Temnikov I. ↓, Fattakhov L. ↑,
69', Bakalyuk N. ↓, Reichmen B. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Lomakin A. ⚽,
77', Saaduev S. ↓, Kichin V. ↑,
77', Okladnikov A. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
79', Takazov S. ↓, Solop A. ↑,
84', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Gashchenkov M. ↑,
84', Lomakin A. ↓, Ferreyra G. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yenisey won 3.

Recent matches Yenisey is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kuban has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yenisey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Yenisey have a series of guest games.

In this match Yenisey is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Yenisey won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Yenisey won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
08.05.24	KAMAZ - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTWL
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
05.05.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Leningradets	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Kuban Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	6:0 ✺
14.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - KAMAZ	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.07.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2
27.05.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2
06.11.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1
31.10.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1
17.07.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:2
31.03.18	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Kuban Krasnodar	0:2
06.09.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1

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