Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Kristall Stadium (Zhigulyovsk)

Referee: Panin I. (Rus)


	Akron Tolyatti		Kuban Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.85	6.2
	1.49	3.95	7.1	Watch
	1.46	3.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	3.88 ↑ (3.88)	6.57 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
62.4%

Draw
23.7%

Kuban Krasnodar
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

22.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 21. Galoyan A. 9. Glushkov N. 10. Palienko M. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)	1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 22. Bakalyuk N. 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 36. Gruznov I. 70. Levin G. 8. Makhatadze G. 19. Osipov E. (C) 9. Reichmen B. 96. Smirnov A. 11. Temnikov I. 37. Vedeneev M.
Substitutes
16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 14. Bokoev M. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 71. Pestryakov D. 19. Sangare D. (G)	10. Abdokov N. 28. Bairyev A. 33. Ezhkov D. 56. Fattakhov L. 21. Kertanov K. 18. Solop A. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G) 3. Zhilov I.
Coaches
Tedeev Z.	Evdokimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Osipov E. (Own goal),
31', Osipov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Ponce A. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Ponce A. ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Palienko M. ⚽,
67', Ponce A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
67', Palienko M. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
67', Glushkov N. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
68', 5 - 0, Danilin K. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
80', Danilin K. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
81', Savichev K. ↓, Pestryakov D. ↑,
85', Temnikov I. ↓, Fattakhov L. ↑,
86', Gruznov I. ↓, Ezhkov D. ↑,
86', Makhatadze G. ↓, Kertanov K. ↑,
86', Bakalyuk N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
87', Osipov E. ↓, Bairyev A. ↑,
88', 6 - 0, Galkin V. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Akron is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kuban is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Akron is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Akron to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
13.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWW
- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
14.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - KAMAZ	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
01.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Rodina Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	0:1
29.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
09.10.22	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0
16.04.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	2:0
03.10.21	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0

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