Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Kuban Stadium (Krasnodar)

Referee: Tanashev I. ()


	Kuban Krasnodar		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	3.29	3.25	2.27
	3.29	3.1	2.28
	3.21	3.3	2.22	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.88)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban Krasnodar
29.6%

Draw
29%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

26.8%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 33. Ezhkov D. 20. Kenfack O. 8. Makhatadze G. 19. Osipov E. (C) 9. Reichmen B. 73. Sharipov A. 96. Smirnov A. 11. Temnikov I. 37. Vedeneev M.	1. Golubev A. (G) 7. Dzhamilov S. 21. Galiulin V. (C) 24. Kakhidze A. 15. Kokoev D. 77. Kotov P. 78. Lipovoy D. 9. Morozov K. 3. Sagutkin D. 90. Shiltsov K. 16. Shorkin M.
Substitutes
10. Abdokov N. 28. Bairyev A. 22. Bakalyuk N. 56. Fattakhov L. 36. Gruznov I. 21. Kertanov K. 70. Levin G. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G) 3. Zhilov I.	10. Bazelyuk K. 4. Berdnikov A. 99. Emelyanov D. 31. Eshchenko S. (G) 11. Kotik A. 91. Magomedov R. 14. Pershin M. 73. Petrov M. 2. Sitdikov M. 8. Talalay D.
Coaches
Evdokimov R.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Makhatadze G. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Galiulin V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shiltsov K. ↓, Emelyanov D. ↑,
46', Galiulin V. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
49', Vedeneev M. 🟨,
56', Kakhidze A. ↓, Sitdikov M. ↑,
56', Kotov P. ↓, Berdnikov A. ↑,
61', Lipovoy D. 🟨,
64', Sharipov A. ↓, Bakalyuk N. ↑,
71', Kenfack O. ↓, Levin G. ↑,
71', Ezhkov D. ↓, Gruznov I. ↑,
79', Makhatadze G. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
82', Kokoev D. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Osipov E. ⚽,
87', Bezdenezhnykh I. 🟨,
89', Levin G. 🟨,
90+3', Osipov E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kuban won 1.

Kuban has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Neftekhimik is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neftekhimik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kuban won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuban won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Kuban Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	6:0 ✺
14.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - KAMAZ	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
01.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
15.04.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:3 ✺
07.04.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.09.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1
13.11.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
24.07.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0
23.04.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	0:3
09.10.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2
26.03.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
28.08.16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	1:4

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