Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.61
	5	3.7	1.6
	5	3.8	1.6
	5.2	3.65	1.6
	5.64	3.87	1.63
	4.75	3.5	1.65
	5.25	3.84	1.62
	5	3.65	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.03)	3.69 ↑ (3.53)	1.61 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
17.9%

Draw
25%

Chesterfield
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Yeovil Town - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 1.

Recent matches Yeovil is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesterfield in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
13.09.22	Eastleigh - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Yeovil Town - York City	0:1 ✺
29.08.22	Wealdstone - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Altrincham - Yeovil Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTWT
- Chesterfield
English National League
13.09.22	Chesterfield - Southend United	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Altrincham - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Notts County - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.02.22	Chesterfield - Yeovil Town	1:0
18.09.21	Yeovil Town - Chesterfield	0:2
06.03.21	Chesterfield - Yeovil Town	3:0
31.10.20	Yeovil Town - Chesterfield	0:1
10.12.19	Chesterfield - Yeovil Town	1:2
English League Two
20.01.18	Yeovil Town - Chesterfield	1:2
26.09.17	Chesterfield - Yeovil Town	2:3

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