Match Info

National League - Round 28

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Australia	06:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	22:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	03:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	01:15	DAZN
Indonesia	02:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	03:45	DAZN
Mexico	13:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Philippines	03:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	22:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	21:45	DAZN
South Korea	04:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Thailand	02:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:45	DAZN
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
Vietnam	02:45	DAZN


	Yeovil Town		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.92	3.4	2.25
	2.98	3.49	2.33
	2.87	3.46	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.25
	2.88	3.28	2.24
	2.85	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.53)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)	2.27 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
32.2%

Draw
27.2%

Aldershot Town
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeovil Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yeovil will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ward J. (G) 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 27. Skura D. 6. Wannell J. 21. Greenslade H. 14. McGavin B. 28. Mafico D. 11. Daly J. 18. Perrett T. 38. Works T. 8. McCormick L.	41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 19. Hill R. 25. Nightingale W. 33. Inwood S. 22. Scott O. 7. Hargreaves C. 14. Meerholz J. 17. Henry J. 11. Peart B. 29. Patton S. 23. Ghandour H.
Substitutes
29. Campbell T. 26. Ferguson K. 22. Gould M. (G) 10. Jones R. 2. Mukena J. 23. Page J. 19. Sims J.	30. Abrahams T. 15. Grogan C. 4. Jenkins L. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 42. Penney M. 31. Sheckleford R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Scott O. ⚽, Patton S. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Works T. ⚽, McCormick L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mafico D. ↓, Sims J. ↑,
50', Wannell J. 🟨,
56', Cousin-Dawson F. 🟨,
64', Inwood S. 🟨,
65', Meerholz J. 🟨,
66', Perrett T. ↓, Mukena J. ↑,
67', Skura D. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Patton S. ⚽,
74', Ward J. 🟨,
75', Greenslade H. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
85', Henry J. ↓, Penney M. ↑,
86', Cousin-Dawson F. ↓, Ferguson K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Yeovil won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Yeovil	15	8	4	3	35:18	17	28
16	Aldershot	15	5	3	7	18:19	-1	18

Outrights of English National League for now

Yeovil: 2.12% Aldershot: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.43%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
14.02.26	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Boreham Wood - Yeovil Town	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Altrincham - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	AFC Telford United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
English National League
17.01.26	Brackley Town - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
14.02.26	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.09.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:4
05.05.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	2:1
28.09.24	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:1
07.04.23	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:1
25.10.22	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	0:2
15.04.22	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	0:2
30.08.21	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:2

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