Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	15:45	DAZN
Australia	04:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	21:45	DAZN
Bolivia	14:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	13:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	13:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	02:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	00:15	DAZN
Indonesia	01:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	02:45	DAZN
Mexico	12:45	DAZN
New Zealand	07:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	19:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	14:45	DAZN
Philippines	02:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	21:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	20:45	DAZN
South Korea	03:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:45	DAZN
Thailand	01:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	22:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	15:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	23:45	DAZN
Venezuela	14:45	DAZN
Vietnam	01:45	DAZN


	Sutton United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.75
	2.38	3.3	2.78
	2.5	3.39	2.81
	3.58	1.71	4.71	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.29)	2.99 ↓ (3.38)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
36.9%

Draw
32.5%

Yeovil Town
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

Sutton United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yeovil (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 24. Boutin N. 22. Dabre M. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. 10. Nadesan A. 34. Njoku B. 14. Pruti E. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 15. Tizzard W.	1. Ward J. (G) 29. Campbell T. 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 26. Ferguson K. 8. McCormick L. 7. Morias J. 17. Oluwabori A. 18. Plant J. 19. Sims J. 6. Wannell J. 4. Williams M.
Substitutes
21. Aziaya D. (G) 37. Bell C. 11. De Silva D. 26. Eccleston J. 6. Odelusi S. 18. Ogbonna D. 3. Vincent L.	22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 9. Jarvis A. 14. McGavin B. 2. Pendleton B. 3. Whittle A. 10. Wodskou B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Plant J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Campbell T. ↓, Jarvis A. ↑,
48', Simper L. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Oluwabori A. ⚽,
61', Dabre M. ↓, Bell C. ↑,
61', Morias J. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
62', Cousin-Dawson F. 🟨,
66', Cousin-Dawson F. ↓, McGavin B. ↑,
68', Harris J. J. 🟨,
69', Pruti E. ↓, Vincent L. ↑,
69', Boutin N. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Bell C. ⚽, Nadesan A. (A),
81', 1 - 2, Jarvis A. (Pen),
86', Oluwabori A. ↓, Wodskou B. ↑,
87', Jones A. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 4.

Sutton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yeovil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yeovil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sutton United - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
27.09.25	Sutton United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Woking - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Sutton United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- Yeovil Town
English National League
27.09.25	Yeovil Town - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Tamworth - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Yeovil Town - Woking	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Yeovil Town - York City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.04.25	Yeovil Town - Sutton United	1:2
24.09.24	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	0:0
09.03.21	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	2:1
27.10.20	Yeovil Town - Sutton United	1:2
28.12.19	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	3:2
03.09.19	Yeovil Town - Sutton United	1:0

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