Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 43

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.38	3.4	2.65
	2.53	3.33	2.88
	2.42	3.32	2.78
	2.4	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.02)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.79 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
38.2%

Draw
28.5%

Dorking Wanderers
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeovil Town's form might have worsened.

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeovil Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Yeovil Town - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Yeovil will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dorking will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Yeovil is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dorking is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dorking could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
07.04.23	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
04.04.23	Gateshead - Yeovil Town	4:0 ✺
01.04.23	Yeovil Town - Southend United	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Yeovil Town - Bromley	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Halifax Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
07.04.23	Dorking Wanderers - Woking	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Dorking Wanderers - Southend United	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	York City - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Yeovil Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 penalties
English National League
04.10.22	Dorking Wanderers - Yeovil Town	1:1

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