Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Yeovil Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.15	3.2	2.2
	3.05	3.1	2.26
	3.56	3.15	2.24
	2.88	3	2.38
	3.42	3.28	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.04)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
28.9%

Draw
29.5%

Grimsby Town
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.9%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeovil Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yeovil Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 2.

Yeovil is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grimsby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Yeovil have a series of guest games.

Grimsby will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
08.03.22	Yeovil Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:3 ✺
05.03.22	Notts County - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Chesterfield - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Maidenhead United - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Eastleigh - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTT
- Grimsby Town
English National League
08.03.22	Southend United - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Grimsby Town - Woking	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
12.02.22	Grimsby Town - Aldershot Town	3:1 ✺
08.02.22	Grimsby Town - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.10.21	Grimsby Town - Yeovil Town	2:0
English League Two
09.02.19	Yeovil Town - Grimsby Town	1:3
01.09.18	Grimsby Town - Yeovil Town	0:1
30.01.18	Yeovil Town - Grimsby Town	3:0
16.09.17	Grimsby Town - Yeovil Town	2:1
22.04.17	Grimsby Town - Yeovil Town	4:2
29.10.16	Yeovil Town - Grimsby Town	0:0

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