Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.5
	6	4.1	1.49
	6.1	4.1	1.45
	6.2	4.3	1.44
	6.4	4.22	1.52
	5.25	3.75	1.55
	6.25	4.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↑ (5.28)	4.11 ↑ (3.98)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
15.4%

Draw
22.5%

Grimsby Town
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

23.4%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19.3%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dover won 0.

Dover is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grimsby is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grimsby is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dover won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League
22.02.22	Aldershot Town - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Stockport County - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Dover Athletic - Southend United	0:1 ✺
25.01.22	Dover Athletic - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TLLLW
- Grimsby Town
English National League
12.02.22	Grimsby Town - Aldershot Town	3:1 ✺
08.02.22	Grimsby Town - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Notts County - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Grimsby Town - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
25.01.22	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.10.21	Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic	6:0
16.04.16	Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town	1:1
19.12.15	Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic	1:0
24.03.15	Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town	0:1
16.08.14	Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic	1:1

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