Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Disney+ Hotstar, FanCode, FanCode, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Philippines	Matchday+
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.8	7	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.2	Watch
	1.59	4.51	5.4
	1.55	4.37	5.23	Watch
	1.55	4	5
	1.54	4.4	5.7	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.3)	4.35 ↓ (5)	5.53 ↓ (9.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
61.4%

Draw
21.6%

Shanghai Port
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

18.6%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

17.7%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yokohama F. Marinos's form might have worsened.

Shanghai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Port's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Port, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Park Il-gyu (G) 23. Miyaichi R. 29. Quinones J. 48. Walsh S. 2. Nagato K. 11. Yan 45. Jean Claude 28. Yamane R. 40. Tono D. 14. Uenaka A. 10. Anderson Lopes (C)	1. Yan Junling (G) 2. Li Ang (C) 13. Wei Zhen 3. Browning Tyias 19. Wang Zhenao 16. Xu Xin 22. Matheus Jussa 32. Li Shuai 98. Mateus Vital 97. Leonardo 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 46. Asada H. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 8. Kida T. 32. Kimura R. (G) 34. Kimura T. 25. Suzuki T. 6. Watanabe K. 47. Yamamura K.	21. Asqer A. 12. Chen Wei (G) 25. Du Jia (G) 27. Feng Jing 36. Haliq Ablahan 14. Li Shenglong 49. Li X. 11. Lu Wenjun 52. Meng Jingchao 15. Ming Tian 4. Wang Shenchao 20. Yang Shiyuan
Coaches
Holland S.	Muscat K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Tono D. ⚽, Uenaka A. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Anderson Lopes ⚽, Jean Claude (A),
35', 2 - 1, Leonardo ⚽, Li Ang (A),
44', 3 - 1, Yan ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
45+2', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Xu Xin 🟨,
56', 4 - 1, Anderson Lopes ⚽, Walsh S. (A),
58', Wang Zhenao ↓, Feng Jing ↑,
62', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
63', Jean Claude ↓, Kida T. ↑,
72', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
77', Xu Xin ↓, Yang Shiyuan ↑,
77', Mateus Vital ↓, Li X. ↑,
82', Amano J. 🟨,
82', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
83', Anderson Lopes ↓, Asada H. ↑,
84', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
90+2', Feng Jing 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Yokohama FM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shanghai Port have a series of home games.

In this match Yokohama FM is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.02.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTLW
- Shanghai Port FC
AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.02.25	Shanghai Port - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.02.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Shanghai Port	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.03.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1
19.02.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
28.11.20	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	1:2
25.11.20	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1

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