Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports 1
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Shanghai Port		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.5	1.77	Watch
	4.62	4.18	1.72
	4.35	4.1	1.69	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.7
	4.67	3.94	1.71	Watch
	4	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.27)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	1.73 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
21.5%

Draw
24.4%

Yokohama F. Marinos
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

24.9%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yokohama F. Marinos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	8.7%	47.8%

Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (G) 15. Ming Tian 3. Browning Tyias 2. Li Ang 23. Fu Huan 16. Xu Xin 4. Wang Shenchao (C) 20. Yang Shiyuan 97. Leonardo 98. Mateus Vital 9. Gustavo	19. Park Il-gyu (G) 27. Matsubara K. 2. Nagato K. 29. Quinones J. 48. Walsh S. 45. Jean Claude 28. Yamane R. 11. Yan 14. Uenaka A. 40. Tono D. 10. Anderson Lopes (C)
Substitutes
21. Aiffeierding A. 12. Chen Wei (G) 25. Du Jia (G) 27. Feng Jing 36. Haliq Ablahan 14. Li Shenglong 32. Li Shuai 49. Li X. 53. Li Zhiliang (G) 11. Lu Wenjun 52. Meng Jingchao 19. Wang Zhenao	20. Amano J. 46. Asada H. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 8. Kida T. 32. Kimura R. (G) 34. Kimura T. 23. Miyaichi R. 25. Suzuki T. 6. Watanabe K.
Coaches
Muscat K.	Holland S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Fu Huan ↓, Wang Zhenao ↑,
14', Mateus Vital 🟨,
28', Li Ang 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Anderson Lopes ⚽,
41', Yang Shiyuan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Shiyuan ↓, Haliq Ablahan ↑,
65', Xu Xin ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
65', Ming Tian ↓, Li Shuai ↑,
76', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
76', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
76', Haliq Ablahan 🟨,
82', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
84', Mateus Vital ↓, Meng Jingchao ↑,
90+3', Yamane R. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Shanghai Port could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shanghai Port have a series of home games.

Yokohama FM will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shanghai Port won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai Port won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
28.02.25	Shanghai Port - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.02.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Shanghai Port	4:0 ✺
Chinese Super Cup
07.02.25	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.02.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
19.02.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
28.11.20	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	1:2
25.11.20	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1

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