Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.68	3.62	2.63
	2.62	3.64	2.52	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.55	3.48	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
36.4%

Draw
26.8%

Kawasaki Frontale
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Il-gyu (G) 13. Inoue T. 17. Quinones J. 33. Suwama K. 2. Kato R. 28. Yamane R. 40. Amano J. 6. Watanabe K. 11. Croux J. (C) 9. Tanimura K. 30. Yuri Araujo	49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 2. Matsunagane Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 91. Romanic L.
Substitutes
46. Asada H. 26. David D. 29. Higuchi A. 21. Iikura H. (G) 8. Kida T. 24. Kondo T. 49. Murakami K. 18. Onaiwu G. 19. Tevis	9. Erison 32. Hayashi S. 27. Kamihashi R. 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 24. Miyagi T. 15. Myogan T. 34. Osa R. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G)
Coaches
Oshima H.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Romanic L. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
17', Croux J. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Amano J. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
60', Yuri Araujo ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
77', Ito T. ↓, Osa R. ↑,
77', Romanic L. ↓, Erison ↑,
81', Croux J. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
86', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
90+1', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
90+1', Tanimura K. ↓, Higuchi A. ↑,
90+1', Amano J. ↓, Tevis ↑,
90+1', Suwama K. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, Erison ⚽, Tachibanada K. (A),
90+8', Erison 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Inactive) Suzuki T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Kawasaki: Ozeki Y. (Ankle Injury) Sasaki A. (Hamstring Injury) Taniguchi H. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Injury) Watanabe K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Yamaichi S. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04% Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:5 ✺
18.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
12.04.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:5 ✺
18.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:5
13.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3
09.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3
17.08.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:3
03.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0
15.07.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1
17.02.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2

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