Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.80
	1.9	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.55	4.32
	1.89	3.4	4.38	Watch
	1.95	3.35	4.25
	1.93	3.29	4.36	Watch
	1.93	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	4.16 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
48.9%

Draw
28.3%

Tokyo Verdy
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Urawa Red Diamonds's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 6. Yamane M. 2. Miyamoto Y. (C) 5. Nemoto K. 18. Hayashi K. 12. Seko T. 25. Yasui K. 7. Kaneko T. 37. Ueki H. 10. Matheus Savio 42. Minamino H.	1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. (C) 5. Inoue R. 40. Arai Y. 8. Saito K. 16. Hirakawa R. 18. Mizoguchi S. 71. Hirao H. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
23. Fukui K. (G) 11. Gustafson S. 36. Hidano R. 31. Inagaki A. 32. Katayama E. 17. Komori H. 88. Naganuma Y. 45. Onaiwu A. 33. Sasa S.	19. Fujimoto K. 33. Ichimi K. 42. Imai K. 25. Kumatoriya I. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 29. Sako M. 2. Shibato K. 28. Yamamoto J.
Coaches
Cho K.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', Mizoguchi S. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Minamino H. ⚽, Ueki H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hirao H. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
56', Ichimi K. 🟨,
58', Saito K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
58', Yamane M. ↓, Inagaki A. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Arai Y. ⚽, Ichimi K. (A),
67', Minamino H. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
67', Ueki H. ↓, Katayama E. ↑,
80', Yasui K. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
81', Matheus Savio ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
86', Suzuki K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
86', Fukuda Y. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
89', Arai Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tokyo Verdy may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Urawa is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Tokyo Verdy: Miyahara K. (Inactive) Morita K. (Injury) Tanabe S. (Knee Injury) Teranuma S. (Inactive) Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Urawa has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Urawa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 4.88 are the expected chance of winning is 19.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
13.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
13.09.26	Tokyo Verdy - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Reilac Shiga - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
12.04.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 penalties
14.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
27.09.25	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
03.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	2:0
19.10.24	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
03.03.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
22.08.18	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	1:0

Upcoming Matches