Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.00
	2.35	3.20	2.85	Watch
	2.59	3.54	2.82
	2.4	3.46	2.89	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.7
	2.38	3.45	2.93	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.44)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	2.84 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
39%

Draw
27.7%

Fagiano Okayama
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fukui K. (G) 3. Danilo Boza 2. Miyamoto Y. (C) 5. Nemoto K. 88. Naganuma Y. 37. Ueki H. 12. Seko T. 42. Minamino H. 8. Mizunuma K. 45. Onaiwu A. 10. Matheus Savio	1. Moser L. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 26. Motoyama H. 24. Fujita I. 41. Miyamoto E. 51. Shirai K. 20. Kawano K. 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao
Substitutes
44. Arai Y. (G) 39. Hayakawa J. 17. Komori H. 15. Kudo K. 33. Sasa S. 34. Tanaka R. 13. Watanabe R. 6. Yamane M. 25. Yasui K.	79. Browne N. 33. Kamiya Yuta 77. Kawanami G. (G) 9. Leo Gaucho 44. Mori S. 10. Na Sang-Ho 19. Sato R. 18. Tagami D. 88. Yamane T.
Coaches
Cho K.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Danilo Boza ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
18', 0 - 1, Omori H. ⚽, Motoyama H. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Minamino H. ⚽, Seko T. (A),
38', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Esaka A. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
56', Kawano K. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
59', Lucao 🟨,
63', Matheus Savio ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
63', Seko T. ↓, Yasui K. ↑,
64', Lucao ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
72', Mizunuma K. ↓, Yamane M. ↑,
72', Onaiwu A. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
75', Motoyama H. 🟨,
80', Fujita I. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
80', Shirai K. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
80', Ueki H. 🟨,
90+8', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tagami D. ↑,
90+8', Ueki H. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
90+11', 1 - 2, Tatsuta Y. ⚽, Browne N. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Urawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Okayama is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92% Okayama: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLL
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:2 ✺
02.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Beluga Rosso Iwami	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	0:2
31.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
30.11.25	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0

Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide