Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	York City		Hereford

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.52	3.95	5.2
	1.56	4.05	5.69
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.53	4.05	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	3.87 ↓ (3.87)	5.57 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
60.1%

Draw
23.6%

Hereford
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

York City - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches York is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hereford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League North
25.09.21	Darlington - York City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
18.09.21	York City - Hebburn Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
04.09.21	York City - Farsley	4:2 ✺
30.08.21	Spennymoor Town - York City	1:3 ✺
28.08.21	York City - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
25.09.21	Hereford - Leamington	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
21.09.21	Hereford - Lymington Town	4:0 ✺
English National League North
04.09.21	Hereford - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
30.08.21	AFC Telford United - Hereford	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Hereford - Fylde	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.03.20	York City - Hereford	1:4
03.12.19	Hereford - York City	2:2
05.02.19	York City - Hereford	1:2
01.09.18	Hereford - York City	1:1

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