The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hereford 51%
Draw 24.8%
Spennymoor Town 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
24.1%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
22.8%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Hereford - Spennymoor Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hereford will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Spennymoor will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Iwunze H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Johnson D. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Iwunze H. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 1.
Hereford has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Spennymoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Hereford is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hereford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
Outrights of English National League North for now