Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: LNER Community Stadium (York)


	York City		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	1.96	3.4	3.5
	2.12	3.3	3.15
	2.11	3.56	3.45
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.24
	2.14	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (3.42)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	3.29 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
44.3%

Draw
27.6%

Maidstone United
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

22.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidstone United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidstone United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

York City - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Maidstone will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches York is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maidstone is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

York will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches York won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
02.01.23	Gateshead - York City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	York City - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	York City - Blyth Spartans	5:0 ✺
English National League
10.12.22	Woking - York City	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	York City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWWT
- Maidstone United
English National League
02.01.23	Maidstone United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Maidstone United - Worthing	2:0 ✺
English National League
13.12.22	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:2 ✺
10.12.22	Maidstone United - Altrincham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.08.22	Maidstone United - York City	2:1
11.02.17	York City - Maidstone United	1:1
06.08.16	Maidstone United - York City	1:1

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