Match Info

National League - Round 17

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	York City		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	7.5
	1.24	6.5	8.6
	1.25	6.43	9.3
	1.28	5.73	8.11	Watch
	1.22	5.8	9.3
	1.29	5.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.28)	6.13 ↑ (5.73)	8.4 ↑ (8.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
73.8%

Draw
15.1%

Gateshead
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

16.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

York City - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Gateshead will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 23. Felix J. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. Howe C. 3. Kitching M. 18. Batty D. 14. Brookes B. 9. Stones J. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 10. Pearce O.	1. Brooks T. (G) 2. Johnson C. 15. Bakare I. 34. Melbourne M. 3. Ferguson D. 22. Edwards C. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 7. Adom K. 9. Telford D. 10. Butterfield J.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 25. Fadera M. 2. Fallowfield R. 33. Kettlewell E. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 34. Stiver E. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	32. Chapman H. 18. Grayson J. 20. John F. 13. Leech P. (G) 14. Nouble F. 27. Pennant K. 31. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Stones J. ⚽, Kitching M. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Felix J. ⚽, Brookes B. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Hunt A. ⚽, Kitching M. (A),
37', Boateng H. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
45+7', Hunt A. 🟨,
45+7', Ferguson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hurst K. ↓, John F. ↑,
62', Melbourne M. ↓, Grayson J. ↑,
63', Telford D. ↓, Pennant K. ↑,
70', Kitching M. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
70', Stones J. ↓, Nathaniel-George A. ↑,
70', Brookes B. ↓, Fadera M. ↑,
76', Home J. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
76', Adom K. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
86', Fagan-Walcott M. ↓, Kettlewell E. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Banks O. (A),
90+6', Pearce O. (Pen),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 3.

York has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gateshead is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, York is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, York won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Barnsley - York City	3:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Halifax Town - York City	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	York City - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWW
- Gateshead
English FA Cup
01.11.25	AFC Wimbledon - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Gateshead - Truro City	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Gateshead - Sunderland U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Brackley Town - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Aveley - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.04.25	Gateshead - York City	1:3
01.01.25	York City - Gateshead	1:0
01.01.24	York City - Gateshead	2:0
26.12.23	Gateshead - York City	1:1
02.01.23	Gateshead - York City	2:2
26.12.22	York City - Gateshead	0:3
English National League North
29.01.22	York City - Gateshead	1:1

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