Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: LNER Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BT Sport


	York City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.55
	5.25	3.8	1.51
	5.4	4.1	1.5
	5.2	4	1.54
	5.66	4.34	1.56
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5.55	4.1	1.55
	5.4	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.1)	4.04 ↑ (3.5)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
16.9%

Draw
22.9%

Wrexham
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.1%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that York City's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

York City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Wrexham will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

York has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wrexham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently York have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches York won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
26.11.22	Dorking Wanderers - York City	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	York City - Wealdstone	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Altrincham - York City	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Shrewsbury Town - York City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Wrexham - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
English National League
19.11.22	Wrexham - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Wealdstone - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
09.11.22	Scunthorpe United - Wrexham	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.22	Wrexham - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.04.17	York City - Wrexham	1:3
29.08.16	Wrexham - York City	2:1

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