Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: Ndala J. (Drc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Young Africans		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.25	6	Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.55	3.28	8.36
	1.53	3.6	5.8
	1.51	3.8	6.65	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.85)	3.48 ↑ (3)	6.33 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Africans
59.3%

Draw
26.2%

USM Alger
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

30%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Africans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Young Africans's performance.

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Alger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Africans than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Young Africans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Young Africans - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Young Africans will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Diarra D. (G) 5. Dickson J. 3. Mwamnyeto B. (C) 2. Hamad I. A. 15. Shomari K. 29. Kisinda T. 4. Bangala Y. L. 27. Yahya M. 25. Musonda K. 10. Aziz Ki S. 9. Mayele F.	25. Benbout O. (G) 19. Radouani S. 4. Belaid Z. (C) 21. Alilet A. 12. Loucif H. 14. Benzaza B. 6. Chita O. 23. Bousseliou K. 8. Merili I. 31. Orebonye T. 18. Mahious A.
Substitutes
1. Mnata M. (G) 12. Moloko J. 33. Morrison B. 17. Mussa F. 13. Mutambala L. 40. Mzize C. 21. Shabani D. 18. Sureboy 20. Zawadi M.	20. Alharaish Z. E. 27. Bekakchi I. 3. Belharane A. 7. Belkacemi I. 16. Benchlef I. (G) 24. Benkhelifa T. 26. Djahnit A. 15. Merbah M. 10. Meziane A.
Coaches
Nabi M.	Benchikha A.

Preview

1st leg.

Young Africans in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

USM Alger is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Young Africans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently USM Alger have a series of guest games.

In this match Young Africans is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Young Africans to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Young Africans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Young Africans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Africans SC
CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.23	Marumo Gallants - Young Africans	1:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
13.05.23	Young Africans - Dodoma Jiji	4:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
10.05.23	Young Africans - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
04.05.23	Singida Fountain Gate - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
30.04.23	Young Africans - Rivers United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWT
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
21.05.23	Paradou - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.23	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	ASEC Mimosas - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
05.05.23	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
30.04.23	FAR Rabat - USM Alger	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
19.08.18	Young Africans - USM Alger	2:1
06.05.18	USM Alger - Young Africans	4:0

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