Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 6
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 20
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Young Boys		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.9	2.55
	2.45	3.75	2.6
	2.58	3.85	2.58
	2.61	3.85	2.61
	2.54	3.91	2.59	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.6
	2.45	3.97	2.7
	2.58	3.85	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.65)	3.85 ↑ (3.53)	2.6 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
38.1%

Draw
25%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	47.2%	25%

Young Boys - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 9 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 47.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.9% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Keller M. (G) 27. Blum L. 13. Camara M. (C) 4. Zoukrou B. 24. Athekame Z. 39. Males D. 30. Lauper S. 8. Lakomy L. 10. Imeri K. 77. Monteiro J. 35. Ganvoula S.	77. Gutesa I. (G) 70. Mimovic O. 33. Drkusic V. 24. Djiga N. 66. Seol Young-Woo 6. Krunic R. 21. Elsnik T. 15. Silas 55. Maksimovic A. 4. Ivanic M. (C) 9. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
23. Benito L. 14. Chaiwa M. 11. Colley E. 15. Elia M. 3. Hadjam J. 9. Itten C. 40. Marzino D. (G) 6. Pfeiffer P. 66. Smith R. 21. Virginius A. 26. von Ballmoos D. (G)	17. Bruno Duarte 28. Draskic V. (G) 18. Glazer O. (G) 32. Ilic L. 91. Jovanovic L. 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 44. Milosavljevic V. 27. Milson 23. Rodic M. 7. Sljivic J.
Coaches
Contini G.	Milojevic V.

Preview

Recent matches Young Boys is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crvena Zvezda is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Young Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Young Boys: Conte A. (Knee Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Janko S. (Injury) Seiler M. (Injury) Ugrinic F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Olayinka P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Young Boys won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Young Boys won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Club Friendly
26.01.25	Young Boys - Fredericia	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
25.01.25	Grasshoppers - Young Boys	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Celtic - Young Boys	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
18.01.25	Young Boys - Winterthur	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Young Boys - Brabrand	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLTW
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Levski Sofia - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
Serbian Superliga
22.12.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički	5:2 ✺
18.12.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
15.12.24	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
28.11.23	Young Boys - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0
04.10.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Young Boys	2:2
27.08.19	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Young Boys	1:1
21.08.19	Young Boys - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:2

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