Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.73
	4.1	4.1	1.75
	4.15	4.35	1.75	Watch
	4.37	4.33	1.78
	4.26	4.31	1.76	Watch
	4	4	1.75
	4.3	4.3	1.77
	4.15	4.35	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (4.08)	4.24 ↑ (4.17)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
22.9%

Draw
22.6%

PSV Eindhoven
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

22.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

23.8%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.6%	11%	74.4%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 12 - 14.8%). PSV will win (votes: 61 - 75.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 9.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 65.9% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Glazer O. (G) 70. Mimovic O. 24. Djiga N. 5. Spajic U. (C) 66. Seol Young-Woo 6. Krunic R. 21. Elsnik T. 15. Silas 4. Ivanic M. 49. Radonjic N. 9. Ndiaye C.	1. Benitez W. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 6. Flamingo R. 18. Boscagli O. 17. Mauro Junior 20. Til G. 23. Veerman J. 22. Schouten J. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 10. Lang N.
Substitutes
17. Bruno Duarte 22. Dalcio 33. Drkusic V. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 32. Ilic L. 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 55. Maksimovic A. 44. Milosavljevic V. 27. Milson 23. Rodic M. 7. Sljivic J.	47. Abed T. 26. Babadi I. 21. Driouech C. 16. Drommel J. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 36. Kuhn W. 28. Land T. 4. Obispo A. 14. Pepi R. 24. Schiks N. (G)
Coaches
Milojevic V.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, de Jong L. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
23', 0 - 2, de Jong L. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
43', 0 - 3, Flamingo R. ⚽, Til G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Flamingo R. 🟥,
71', 1 - 3, Ndiaye C. ⚽, Djiga N. (A),
71', Silas ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
71', Seol Young-Woo ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
74', Lang N. ↓, Kuhn W. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Djiga N. ⚽, Ivanic M. (A),
78', Ledezma R. ↓, Karsdorp R. ↑,
83', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
86', Til G. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
86', Bakayoko J. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

PSV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games.

Recently PSV have a series of home games.

In this match PSV is a favorite.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Jovanovic L. (Suspended)

There will not play in PSV: Dams M. (Yellow Cards) Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Bruno Duarte (Muscle Injury) Olayinka P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Driouech C. (Ankle Injury) Nagalo A. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Levski Sofia - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
Serbian Superliga
22.12.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički	5:2 ✺
18.12.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
15.12.24	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:7 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Milan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:4 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Koninklijke HFC	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTWW

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