Match Info

Mozzart Serbian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Gradski Stadion (Novi Pazar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10


	Novi Pazar		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.7	4.85	1.33
	6.9	5.1	1.37
	7.11	4.14	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.36
	6.39	4.65	1.37
	7.5	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.85 ↓ (8)	4.72 ↑ (4.7)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novi Pazar
13.5%

Draw
19.5%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

20.2%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

19.5%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Crvena Zvezda (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samcovic Z. (G) 8. Abdullahi A. 15. Backulja F. 10. Camaj D. 24. Davidovic I. 4. Hadzimujovic A. 23. Marinkovic J. 3. Miletic N. (C) 30. Sadi D. 18. Stanisavljevic S. 16. Togbe S.	1. Matheus (G) 17. Bruno Duarte 21. Elsnik T. 25. Erakovic S. 10. Katai A. 22. Kostov V. 33. Krunic R. 66. Seol Young-Woo 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 23. Tiknizyan N. 13. Veljkovic M.
Substitutes
14. Alic S. 31. Alilovic Z. 28. Bijelovic L. 5. Bruncevic E. 9. Kotzebue V. 29. Manev J. 19. Mavric E. (G) 20. Mirosavic V. 21. Petkovic M. 12. Prekovic M. (G) 11. Rusevic A.	89. Arnautovic M. 71. Avdic A. 6. Bajo M. 28. Draskic V. (G) 20. Handel T. 37. Lucic V. 35. Owusu D. 5. Rodrigo 40. Zaric L.
Coaches
Lalatovic N.	Stankovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Bruno Duarte ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
35', Matheus ↓, Draskic V. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Tiknizyan N. ⚽,
38', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Elsnik T. ⚽,
60', Stanisavljevic S. ↓, Kotzebue V. ↑,
66', Abdullahi A. ↓, Alilovic Z. ↑,
66', Davidovic I. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
70', Seol Young-Woo 🟨,
76', Kostov V. ↓, Handel T. ↑,
76', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Avdic A. ↑,
76', Katai A. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
76', Camaj D. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,
81', Avdic A. 🟨,
85', Arnautovic M. ↓, Zaric L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Novi Pazar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 14:75. (average 0.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:35. (average 0.9:3.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
28.02.26	Novi Pazar - Bačka Topola	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Vojvodina - Novi Pazar	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLT
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
01.03.26	Radnički 1923 - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	0:2 ET ✺
Serbian Superliga
22.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Lille - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
14.02.26	Železničar Pančevo - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
07.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:0
31.08.25	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:5
17.05.25	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:3
Serbian Cup
02.04.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	2:1
Serbian Superliga
15.12.24	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:7
10.08.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	4:1
17.02.24	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3

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