Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)


	Ypiranga		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5
	1.6	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.5	6.17
	1.6	3.6	5.7
	1.57	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.42)	3.59 ↑ (3.1)	5.46 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
57.8%

Draw
25.5%

Brasil de Pelotas
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

29.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ypiranga's performance.

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasil de Pelotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ypiranga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexander (G) 99. Amarildo 91. Anderson Uchoa 88. Clayton 100. Gedeilson 6. Guilherme Santos 30. Jhonatan Ribeiro 7. Mateus Anderson 3. Willian Gomes 15. Windson 18. Ze Vitor	1. Gabriel (G) 3. Adriel 5. Anderson Recife 4. Bruno Reis 2. Danilo Guimaraes 7. Gabriel Biteco 8. Jeferson Lopes 9. Mailson 23. Marcinho 6. Mario Henrique 11. Mauricio Nunes
Substitutes
10. Alisson Taddei 34. Allan (G) 9. Edson Carius 20. Eduardo Henrique 11. Fabricio Pereira 98. Gabriel Lima 5. Heitor 8. Karl 2. Lucas Lopes 35. Marcao (G) 26. Wanderson Martins 16. Yohan	16. Jefinho 19. Jhonas 20. JP Bardales 15. Matheus Oliveira 22. Nycollas Queiroz 13. Pedro Santos 21. Rafael 17. Robinho 12. Thierry (G) 10. Tinga 18. Yander 14. Ze Pedro
Coaches
Carvalho T.	Fabiano Daitx

Preview

Brasil de Pelotas is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ypiranga have a series of guest games.

In this match Ypiranga is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ypiranga won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
26.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Ríver PI - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
17.02.24	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Ypiranga - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Avenida - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTTL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.02.23	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
23.03.22	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1
20.03.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:0
20.02.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:1
31.03.21	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
08.03.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	0:2

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