Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 10

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Juventude

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.95	2.97	2.08
	3.31	2.96	2.23
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.25	3.1	2.23
	3.3	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↑ (2.84)	2.18 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
28.3%

Draw
30%

Juventude
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

31.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventude's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel (G) 14. Adriel 5. Anderson Recife (C) 4. Bruno Reis 2. Gabriel Biteco 9. JP Bardales 8. Maicky 23. Marcinho 6. Mario Henrique 11. Robinho 3. Ze Pedro	99. Lucas Wingert (G) 4. Danilo Boza 7. Erick 9. Gilberto 16. Jadson (C) 20. Jean Carlos 13. Jefferson 2. Joao Lucas 21. Lucas Barbosa 5. Luis Oyama 3. Ze Marcos
Substitutes
17. Danilo Guimaraes 15. Jeferson Lopes 18. Jefinho 19. Jhonas 16. Matheus Oliveira 20. Mauricio Nunes 22. Nycollas Queiroz 13. Pedro Santos 21. Rafael 12. Thierry (G) 10. Tinga 7. Vini Charopem	95. Caique Goncalves 36. Da Rocha 17. Edson Carioca 75. Kleiton 43. Lucas Freitas 44. Mandaca 77. Mateus Claus (G) 8. Matheus Vargas 37. Rildo 34. Rodrigo Sam 45. Werik Popo

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 3.

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
04.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTTW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	São Luiz - Juventude	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Juventude - Avenida	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Juventude - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.03.23	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
12.03.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	1:0
24.04.21	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1
12.03.21	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	2:3
Brazilian Serie B
12.01.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	2:1
10.10.20	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
26.07.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	0:1

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