Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yunnan Yukun		Henan Songshan Longmen

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.65	Watch
	2.40	3.70	2.45
	2.4	3.45	2.68	Watch
	2.47	3.85	2.71
	2.47	3.34	2.72	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.65
	2.47	3.66	2.71	Watch
	2.45	3.55	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.53)	3.59 ↑ (3.32)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
38.6%

Draw
26.1%

Henan Songshan Longmen
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Henan Songshan Longmen aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Henan Jianye will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 26. Zhang Chenliang 33. Burca A. 21. Yang Zihao 34. Caio Vinicius 6. Zhao Yuhao (C) 39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 10. Ionita II A. 11. Taty Maritu O. 30. Saeter J.	18. Wang Guoming (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 21. He Chao 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 29. Zheng Dalun 10. Bruno Nazario 39. Osman Ekber 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 9. Cleber 25. Deng Hanwen 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 5. Shi Ke 20. Tang Miao 7. Ye Chugui 18. Yi Teng 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 15. Zhang Yufeng	13. Abudulam A. 28. Du Changjie 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 15. Haliq Ablahan 5. Liu Jiahui 27. Liu Yixin 11. Muhmet N. 8. Pedro Maranhao 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Ramos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Ye Chugui ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Wang Shangyuan (A),
45+13', Yang Zihao 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Zheng Dalun ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
59', Osman Ekber ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
63', Wang Shangyuan 🟨,
64', Tsui Wang-Kit ↓, Deng Hanwen ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Abdusalam Bunyamin ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
66', He Chao 🟨,
73', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Cleber ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Cleber ⚽,
80', Shinar Yeljan ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
80', He Chao ↓, Liu Yixin ↑,
82', Yang Yilin 🟨,
88', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Du Changjie ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Huang Zichang (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Henan Jianye: Zhong Yihao (Yellow Cards)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
26.06.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun	4:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Yunnan Yukun	2:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
31.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
20.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLT
- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
27.06.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Zhejiang Professional	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
15.03.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Yunnan Yukun	2:1
22.11.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Yunnan Yukun	1:1
26.06.25	Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1

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